I was delighted to participate in a webinar hosted by the Center for Studies in Higher Education at University of California, Berkeley on May 7, exploring the extent to which COVID-19 will shape international student mobility. The full seminar is available on YouTube, but I outline my thoughts on the ways in which the Asian financial crisis of 1997 might provide some insight into how sudden shocks can alter the trajectory of global student mobility below.
To kick off International Education Week this past Monday,
the Institute of International Education (IIE) released its 70th
Open Doors Report outlining international student mobility trends in the
United States during the 2018/19 academic year.
Assistant Secretary of State for Educational and Cultural Affairs Marie
Royce commenced the release by lauding the nation’s status as the most popular
study destination for international students, attracting more than one million
international students for the fourth year in a row.
The report also indicated that there was a decrease in the
6.6 percent declines in new international student enrollments (NSEs) in 2017/18
to 0.9 percent in 2018/19, evidence that suggests the two-year drop in
international enrollments has stabilized.
Recently, some colleagues asked us whether there was any relationship between the political affiliation/control of states in the US and their success in attracting international students. Armed with Gallup’s state political affiliation analysis, we had a look.
identifies five categories: Strong Republican, Lean Republican, Competitive,
Strong Democratic and Lean Democratic.
Using those definitions we overlaid IPEDS data to identify the number of
international students and the extent to which those enrollments have grown or
declined between Fall 2015 and Fall 2017.
In the maps
below, the size of the bubble indicates the relative size of the international
student population in the State and the color is aligned with Gallup’s
definition of political affiliation.
So what are
International students enroll
everywhere but of the top ten most popular state destinations, six are either
strong or lean Democratic, three are
designated as competitive (Texas, Ohio and Florida) and one, Indiana is
designated as Lean Republican. This does not imply any particular political
affiliation amongst students. States
with strong Democratic leanings are home to large urban centers with big
concentrations of universities, including many of the Nation’s best known and
highly ranked. These large urban centers
are also home to multiple language schools, large community colleges and generally
offer strong employment opportunities.
In the first blog on
our global agent survey, we explored sentiment for various destinations around
the world. In this edition, we take a
closer look at what is important to agents and the students they counsel.
SEVIS, IIE, HESA, the OECD and Open Doors are useful
tools for helping us understand the global distribution of students – and for
establishing long term trends. But they
are not crystal balls. INTO’s latest
recruitment agent survey which polled more than 1800 counsellors across the
world produces revealing insights into their assessment for future student
enrollments in key destination countries. The survey, conducted in April 2019, includes almost 500 responses from China,
traditionally a blackspot for global polls of this nature – and making it the
most authoritative China agent insight survey ever conducted.
INTO Giving raising $1 million to help schoolchildren and their teachers was a gigantic feat. When we saw we’d reached that million-high orbit, a thrill raced through us. We knew we’d done something monumental.
That ‘we’. That ‘we’ is important.
We, in this case, means thousands of INTO students and graduates from across the world, thousands of INTO employees and faculty, INTO’s global network of agents, INTO University Partnerships and university partners, and INTO’s founder.
Latest SEVIS release confirms a decline in foreign enrollments in the United States
In 1998, the United States War College coined an acronym VUCA – volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous. It was designed as a conceptual model to help military officers understand the world – and has been popularized by the world’s leading Business Schools.
Working with the latest release of SEVIS Data – March 2017, we have compared the number of students registered in the United States from across the Middle East and China from the same reporting period last year. We believe this is the most up to date analysis available anywhere.
You can analyze these data by state or by region. How dependent has your state been on Saudi Arabian students? And how have you been affected by those changes? What is the latest distribution of Chinese students across the United States? Who is vulnerable if there is a drop in Iranian students? Explore this with the interactive maps below
Middle East and Africa
Every year, INTO University Partnerships helps almost 14,000 students from 120 countries and territories around the world achieve their dream of studying overseas.
We work with individual students, universities and governments through a sophisticated, multi-channeled marketing operation, providing the highest quality student experience – the heart of our mission.